Acute:Chronic Workload Ratio
Compares your recent training load (acute, ~7 days) against your longer-term baseline (chronic, ~28 days) to flag when load is spiking faster than your body has adapted to. Thresholds follow the commonly cited Gabbett bands: 0.8–1.3 sweet spot, 1.3–1.5 caution, above 1.5 high risk. The average is EWMA, not a simple rolling mean.
- Gabbett TJ The training–injury prevention paradox: should athletes be training smarter and harder?. British Journal of Sports Medicine, 2016.
- Murray NB, Gabbett TJ, Townshend AD, Blanch P Calculating acute:chronic workload ratios using exponentially weighted moving averages provides a more sensitive indicator of injury likelihood than rolling averages. British Journal of Sports Medicine, 2017. · why EWMA over rolling averages
